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Week 10 of the NFL season starts off with the Los Angeles Chargers-Oakland Raiders showdown. With Antonio Brown tweeting up a firestorm on Thursday, it feels like he’s starting to miss not being out there. Seeing the Raiders in primetime on national television won’t help his cause.
We’ve got over-under picks for that game and every single other one on the board. Let’s take a look at totals for Week 10:
Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders
The Chargers seem to be heating up at just the perfect time to make a serious run in the AFC. Coming off back-to-back wins over the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers, Los Angeles is set to visit a division rival that it has dominated in recent years. The Chargers have won four straight against the Raiders over the last two seasons. Oakland has averaged 26.3 points per game over its last three contests.
Meanwhile, LA just scored 26 points in its win over Green Bay. The over is 5-3 in Raiders’ games so far this season. There is a good chance that trend continues with another over in this one.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans
Tennessee hasn’t been able to capitalize on its home field advantage. The Titans are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games. In their last 25 games as a home underdog, Tennessee is just 4-21 straight up. While Tennessee has hung around in the AFC playoff race in large part because they have been able to capitalize on their favorable matchups this season. This isn’t one of them.
Patrick Mahomes could very well make his return for Kansas City this week. Even if he doesn’t, it’s hard to trust a Titans offense that has struggled with consistency all season. Tennessee will try to run the football in order to keep Mahomes off the field. That should contribute to this game staying under the total.
Buffalo Bills @ Cleveland Browns
When will the public finally give up on the Browns? Despite a 2-6 record, Cleveland is listed as a 2.5-point favorite at home against the 6-2 Bills. Part of the problem is that almost nobody is buying Buffalo as a legitimate contender in the NFC. The Bills own the second-worst DVOA of any 6-2 team that Football Outsiders has ever tracked. Still, Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as a sports betting underdog. What will the Browns have to do to win this game? Run the football and play tough defense. What will the Bills have to do to win this game?
Run the football and play tough defense. While it might be too late for them anyways, a lot of people have talked about how this is the week that things finally come together for Cleveland. Still, the Browns seem like a very risky play until they prove they can take care of business. Regardless of which team wins, it makes sense to take the under here.
Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Arians Bowl might just be one of the most entertaining games on the schedule for Week 10. Bruce Arians has struggled to help quarterback Jameis Winston take that next step in Tampa Bay this season. Perhaps just as concerning for the Buccaneers this week is the rookie quarterback that looks like he has the potential to be special for Arizona in Kyler Murray. The Cardinals are coming off a pair of humbling losses to good teams in the New Orleans Saints and the San Francisco 49ers.
That doesn’t mean they won’t rebound and move the football a lot better against a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed an average of 31.5 points per game. While the line for this game is already the highest total on the board for Week 10, it might still not be high enough. Take the over here as Murray and Winston put on a show through the air.
New York Giants @ New York Jets
Just when it seemed like things couldn’t get any worse for Sam Darnold and the Jets, they go in to Miami and allow the tanking Dolphins to pick up their first win of the season. Head coach Adam Gase refused to call it an embarrassing loss, which in a lot of ways makes it seem a little worse. Now the Jets return to New York for a dual-home game against the rival Giants.
While the G-Men haven’t exactly looked good, they are coming off a competitive loss to the Dallas Cowboys and they are finally getting healthy. There is a good chance that both teams will lean on their running backs in Le’Veon Bell and Saquon Barkley in order to take some of the pressure off of their young quarterbacks. Based on what we have seen from both teams of late, there is a good chance this is another low scoring game.
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
After surviving an injury to Drew Brees thanks to quality play from Teddy Bridgewater and a tough defense, the Saints will look to pick up from where they left off with Brees back under center coming off the bye week. New Orleans has averaged 24.4 points per game this season. However, that number jumps to 30.5 points in games that Brees has started and finished this season.
Meanwhile, there is still no worse on the status of Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan coming out of their bye. Ryan has been sidelined with a concussion. At 1-7, there is a good chance Atlanta is that much more patient when it comes to his recovery. The Saints can put up some points in this contest, but we can’t expect the same out of the Falcons. With the total set at 51, it makes sense to take the under in this one.
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
The Ravens are coming off a statement win over the New England Patriots in which they put up 37 points against a defense that had allowed under eight points per game through the first eight weeks of the season. Now Lamar Jackson and the highest-scoring offense in the NFL will look to pick up from right where they left off against the hopeless Bengals. For as impressive as last week’s win was for Baltimore, we can’t expect the same intensity out of them this week as they do their best to just take care of business and get out of Cincinnati healthy this Sunday.
A Miami win last week means that the Bengals are now the lone remaining winless team in the NFL. That will undoubtedly remain the case through Week 10. With both teams likely to lean on their rushing attacks, that will only help push the pace of a contest that is already expected to be low scoring.
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers talked about how the Packers were humbled a bit in last week’s loss to the Chargers. Now he heads back to Green Bay for another tough matchup versus Carolina. The Panthers confirmed this week that Cam Newton’s season was over, which means Kyle Allen will be their unquestioned starter moving forward. Carolina has been able to move the football effectively for the most part with Allen at quarterback, scoring 30 points or more in each of their last three games that weren’t against the 49ers.
Can they keep it going against the Packers? Whatever issues Rodgers and company were dealing with against the Chargers will need to be corrected in a hurry heading in to this matchup against another tough defense. While both teams have the potential to put up some decent numbers, this game also has the potential to be a lot lower scoring than most expect if the defenses show up. With a lot on the line for both teams, we will take the under in this contest.
Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears
The Bears have reached another crossroads in their quest to find a legitimate franchise quarterback. Mitch Trubisky has really struggled this season, which is a big reason why Chicago has been held to just 17.8 points per game. Things won’t get any easier against a Lions team that won both meetings with the Bears a year ago.
Matt Nagy will do his best to run the football and keep it out of Trubisky’s hands this week. Meanwhile, Matt Patricia will likely take a similar approach against a talented defense in the cold weather in Chicago. Take the under in this one.
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts
The line for this game is still up in the air with Colts’ quarterback Jacoby Brissett’s status in question. Regardless of whether he plays or not, there is a good chance that Indianapolis does its best to keep the football on the ground and pound the rock against a Miami defense that has allowed an average of 32.0 points per game this season.
While the Dolphins are coming off a big win over the Jets that ended any talk about a potential 0-16 season, they could get hit with a major dose of reality against a talented Colts side this Sunday. Indianapolis won’t give up much, but they also might not score much regardless of whether Brissett sits or plays at less than full strength.
Los Angeles Rams @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Just when the Steelers managed to scratch and claw their way back to the .500 mark, they’ll have to host a defending NFC champion Rams teams that is coming off its bye week desperate for a win. Despite a tough run in the month of October, Los Angeles is still right in the thick of the NFC playoff race with the best in-season acquisition on its side in cornerback Jalen Ramsey.
While Pittsburgh was able to move the football against lesser opponents, this matchup will present a much more difficult test for Mason Rudolph their offense. While the Rams are the better team, we still aren’t willing to trust Jared Goff against a Steelers defense that has looked substantially better since acquiring Minkah Fitzpatrick. We will stick with the under in this matchup.
Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys
One of the most intriguing showdowns on the board will feature a pair of NFC contenders going head-to-head on Sunday Night Football. Ultimately, it could end up coming down to which team is healthier. Minnesota will be without wide receiver Adam Thielen. The Cowboys are a little banged up, but it looks like wide receiver Amari Cooper will be good to go by the time that Sunday night rolls around. The over is a combined 10-7 in the games these teams have played in so far this season. However, there are a couple of reasons to doubt the potential for this to be a high scoring game.
First, Kirk Cousins has looked like a much different quarterback on the road than at home. Second, the Cowboys have looked dominant against some of the weaker competition on their schedule but have struggled against some of the better teams they have faced. With both teams fighting for playoff position in the NFC, it wouldn’t be a surprise if they leaned on their star running backs in Ezekiel Elliott and Dalvin Cook. All of those factors should result in a final combined score that remains under the listed total.
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
We will have to wait until Monday Night Football to get the marquee matchup for Week 10 with the Seahawks set to travel to San Francisco for one of the most highly anticipated NFC matchups of the season so far. The 49ers are absolutely rolling as the league’s lone remaining undefeated team at 8-0. Now they get another opportunity to show the football world just how much better they are than their top competition in the NFC West. While the Seahawks are right there near the top of the division at 7-2, there is some concern about the fact that they have played such close games against seemingly inferior opponents.
The wheels could come off the track a little bit this week against the best defense in the NFC. If that’s the case, the 49ers will lean on their rushing attack to control the time of possession battle while putting up more than enough points to win this game. Take the under in what will be looked at as San Francisco’s most impressive victory of the season so far.
The post NFL Football Betting Picks: Over-Under Predictions For Week 10 appeared first on Wager Street.
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